The Newsletter

  • The U.S. – Venezuela deal

    Not long ago, Venezuela closest friends and economic parters were Cuba, Russia and China as well as regional leftist regimes such as Nicaragua and Bolivia. Cuba provided deep intelligence, security, and medical personnel and Cuba relied on Venezuela for discounted oil in a relatively destructive economic relationship. Russia acted as a major military and political…

  • Global economic outlook

    The global outlook continues to be shaped by two competing factors. First, the conflict in Iran remains unresolved and the Strait of Hormuz is still largely closed. Oil prices have generally traded at or below $90/barrel in recent weeks, reflecting signals that the U.S. continues to seek an exit from the conflict. Second, despite headwinds…

  • AI and warfare

    AI warfare refers to the use of artificial intelligence technologies to automate military operation and enhance or bypass human decision-making in armed conflicts. AI is used to rapidly analyze large volumes of military intelligence data, including making recommendations or decisions on who and what to target. While advancing a maximum lethality doctrine in its war…