The continued decline of Great Britain

Great Britain, the former mighty and powerful country and empire, is seeing a continued diminished global role, weak economic growth, high inflation, negative economic impact of Brexit and marginalization in Europe, higher crime rates, high level of non-Christian immigration, potential independence of Scotland, frictions with Ireland over Northern Ireland and the list can go on. The country is a mess.

The two main parties are struggling with identity crises and Labour party is trending increasingly left and the governing Conservatives are seeing a shift towards a moderate and borderline liberal party. Few can recognize the Conservative party of Margaret Thatcher and recent local elections were an absolute disaster for the party and with these contests set to be the last before a general election later this year or early 2025, the Conservatives should be bracing for a very rough election.

In the recent local election, Conservative leaders watched as their representation on local councils plummeted from 989 to 515. Ironically coinciding with the 45th anniversary of Thatcher’s victory in 1979, this collapse was a drastic reversal for a party that has been in the majority since 2010. Making matters worse, Conservatives lost a national by-election in Blackpool South, with a 26% swing to Labour. That was not just a bad day at the office. It is the third-largest Conservative party-to-Labour party swing since 1945 when Winston Churchill was prime minster.

Blackpool South is the fifth seat in two years that Labour flipped from the Conservatives by more than 20 points. With results like these becoming the norm, this is no electoral fluke, it is a trend, and a very bad one for the Conservatives. Assuming these swings are repeated in the upcoming general election, even to a lesser degree, the Labour party could secure a larger victory than Tony Blair’s landslide in 1997. For some context, Labour won nearly two-thirds of the seats available in parliament that year, securing 418 out of 650 seats.

If things do not turn around and quickly before the general election, prime minister Rishi Sunak will likely be booted from No. 10 Downing Street, with what is left of the Conservative party forced to the opposition benches in the House of Commons. Sunak has proven a weak leader with lack of core conservative values. Sunak was appointed as prime minister by Charles III on October 25th, 2022, becoming both the first British Asian and the first Hindu to take the office. Churchill would likely not believe that less than 60 years after his death, there would be a non-Christian prime minster, a Hindu. This is happening in the land of Shakespeare, and it is truly sad.

If the current political election prediction becomes a reality, Sunak will be forced to resign as leader of the Conservatives, triggering a race to find a new leader. This leader could be conservative and populist Nigel Farage. A Eurosceptic since his start in politics, Farage began campaigning to leave the EU in the early 1990s. He later played a key role in the 2016 Brexit referendum, helping secure an unexpected and hard-fought victory for the Leave campaign. Farage’s ability to connect with the working-class voters, especially in traditional Labour strongholds, demonstrates his effectiveness as a campaigner. The fact that he was able to energize a disorganized and disjoined Leave coalition, rallying this camp from a low of just 22% support, underscores his effectiveness as a messenger. Farage’s willingness to engage in debate is another testament to his leadership. It is clear that Farage can win hearts and minds on issues, which would make him a formidable leader in a general election.

With the next prime minster likely to be Labour’s Keith Starmer, thanks not to his own charisma but widespread dissatisfaction with the Tories, the Conservatives are in desperate need of a charismatic leader to bring back voters into their ranks.

As a former head of the UK Independence Party (UKIP), Farage led the group, which was vastly outspent by the Conservatives and Labour, to a third-place finish in the 2015 general election. He also guided the Brexit Party to victory in the 2019 European elections, trouncing the opposition, which in included the Conservatives. Farage’s ability to build winning coalitions on issues that matter to voters, like both legal and illegal immigration, demonstrates his deep understanding of voter concerns.

The Conservative party is going to spend at least the next five years in opposition. Such time out of power will offer the party, especially senior leadership, a much-needed period of reflection. The task ahead for the Conservatives will not be easy. The party must work to regain the trust of the working-class, pro-Brexit, Labour turned first-time Conservative voters they once rallied under Boris Johnson. The Conservatives are desperate for a fresh start.

Nigel Farage, with his name recognition, electoral appeal and command of the media, is the person best suited to build the party back up, restoring it to Thatcher-era greatness. For Great Britain in general though, the decline will continue, and they will have to get used to being a small European country instead of a global power. It is a sad story that will get even sadder.

Similar Posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *